MARKET
DEVELOPMENT PROPOSALS
CALCULATION OF FINANCIAL AND ECONOMIC VIABILITY
Financial and economic appraisal is an important component of any project without which it is incomplete. Increasing awareness about the use of scare resources and the returns obtainable from it makes the issue more important. Financial analysis is used to describe the commercial viability of the project and shows its strength from financial angle. The concept of economic analysis can be considered as an extension of the financial analysis. In economic analysis the concern is on the developmental effect on the society/economy as a whole as against the financial analysis that bothers the interest of the specific entity. In the present report, financial analysis has been done for each market and of each category.
Assumptions
In the absence of past trends and its proper records it is necessary
to make certain assumptions based on the reality of situations for assessing the
true viability of any project. For
this master plan, following assumptions have been taken:
i)
Economic Life of the Project
The horizon is important
for calculation of benefit and cost of a project. Generally, 20-25 years period is considered proper as
economic life of the project. In
present case, calculations have been made assuming the economic life of the
markets as 20years ending at 2020 A.D.
ii) Gestation Period
Proposed proposals for
market development in Chhatishgarh is very simple. In number of markets, already minimum necessary requirement
of construction has been met out and only a small addition or change will take
place. In other cases markets would
come up in a reasonable time. Therefore,
it has been assumed that three-years period will be sufficient for completion of
the proposed construction to make the new market yard fully operational.
The full revenue in the form of ground rent is expected to flow after a
gestation period of three years only.
iii)
Occupancy
While making calculations, it has been assumed that all sellers operating in the market at present will shift and occupy space in new market, as they would get better trading facilities. Therefore, 100% space occupancy along with zero leakage of revenue has been considered. Occupancy of space in godown has been estimated for three to six months only in a year since space in godown may be utilized or in demand during harvesting and peak marketing season of different commodities.
iv)
Income and Expenditure
The main source of income
of markets is market fee, leased rent and other sources of income.
The income from market fee is assumed and computed at the rate of 1.5% of
the value of arrivals expected with the implicit assumption that all the markets
will be regulated and there will be a market committee to supervise the market
operations and collect the market fee. The
growth rate, which has been used for projecting the arrivals, is used for
projecting income from this source for next 20 years i.e. up to 2018.
Base year value is based on the actual value of arrival for the year
1998-99.
The
other main source of income is rent chargeable on buildings.
Rent has been assumed at 14% of the cost of construction of trading
section and non-trading sections. No
change rental has been proposed. While
projecting income from this source it would get generate after the gestation
period of three years is over. Usually,
rent can be increased @10% after every 3 years, which would be, beneficial to
the markets. Other income includes
fines, sale of forms etc. that has been assumed Rs.20,000 per annum and has been
kept constant.
Various kinds of expenditure items like establishment cost, repair and maintenance, cost of land, capital cost etc. have to be looked into before preparing cash-flow statement. Establishment cost has been assumed @30% of the market fee expected, as the present staffing plan and expenditure was not available. Repair and maintenance cost has been estimated at 1% of the total cost. A lump sum amount of Rs.5000 has been kept as miscellaneous expenditure to meet any contingency. Each market committee has to contribute Marketing Board Fund out of its income. Accordingly, it has been proposed that each market will contribute 10% of its market fee to this fund and the same has been kept as one of the component of operating expenditure.
Gross benefits have been worked out for 26 years by deducting total operating expenditure from total income. Net benefits are net of interest payment and depreciation.
Depreciation
has been estimated by the straight-line method i.e. total capital cost
divided by the life of the project assumed as 20 years.
v)
Financial Analysis
In Chhatisgarh, main
source of the market revenue is from market fee and ground rent from the
marketers for space occupied/allotted. Income
and expenditure items taken into consideration have been explained earlier.
Now, cash flow statement and cost-benefit analysis are important to be
analyzed.
Cash Flow Projections
Projected cash flow statements as well as income and expenditure
statements are given in annexure. The
statements indicate the flow for next 20 years upto 2018 A.D.
Interest on cumulative cash has been assumed at 12% per annum.
As could be seen from annexure that development proposals for markets
would be able to repay the loan along with interest with the projected volume of
throughput.
Cost-Benefit Analysis
In order to assess the financial viability of development proposals,
Internal Rate of Return (IRR) of each market has been worked out with reference
to total capital cost and expected gross benefits from the third year to the
20th year. The IRR of each market
proposal is shown in the annexures.
Economic Benefits
Although the project seems to be quite viable from commercial point
of view, economic benefits likely to be accrued are also quite high. In case of markets, which have been found viable, the project
can be considered. Major tangible
and intangible benefits such markets will generate are:
i)
The market will become attractive and accessible to producers.
Provision of better market facilities will reduce market congestion and
improve hygienic condition.
ii)
Construction of platform, sheds will reduce the loss of the commodities
both qualitatively and quantitatively by offering better handling facilities and
extending protection to commodities from rain and sunlights.
By rough estimates it has been assessed that it would generate higher
turn over by at least 5%.
iii)
Construction of markets will provide temporary employment opportunities
to local poor during the course of construction.
Of course, since capital investments the depend on grants, the
construction job can be linked to Govt.’s various rural development programmes
like JRY etc.
iv)
In a state like Chhatishgarh where Panchayati Raj Institutions and
Cooperatives play important role, market places can function as ‘growth
centres’ besides meeting place for rural folk.
Construction of a pucca market will enhance socio-economic interaction
enormously in addition to marketing activities. Marketing extension, market information service etc will get
a direct boost. Procurement of
various commodities will become easier. Besides,
IRDP beneficiaries can also make use of these markets as outlet for their
products.
v)
Better marketing facilities in interior areas of the state will provide
incentive to the producers to market efforts to enhance their production, so
that whatever surplus is generated, may be marketed easily.
Thus the production of commodities, even by small producers will go
higher and income of the producers will go up due to better price and higher
marketed surplus.
In the absence of an appropriate technique for quantification of benefits derived from qualitative developments in social/ agriculture sector, it could not be minutely worked out.
Conclusions
Development proposals for 109 markets are appraised to assess the
financial viability of each market proposal.
As could be seen from the table. 84
markets qualify for funding and 25 markets in the State have been found
unviable. District wise, region
wise and category wise position of viable markets are given.
Market wise IRR Values in order of Merit
|
Sn |
Market |
IRR
Value |
|
1 |
Kharsia |
194 |
|
2 |
Pathalgaon |
130 |
|
3 |
Dhamtari |
126 |
|
4 |
Navapara |
118 |
|
5 |
Dharamjaygarh |
98 |
|
6 |
Kotava |
96 |
|
7 |
Rajpur |
84 |
|
8 |
Balod |
80 |
|
9 |
Basna |
74 |
|
10 |
Sarangarh |
74 |
|
11 |
Raipur |
72 |
|
12 |
Bhatapara |
72 |
|
13 |
Jadalpur |
72 |
|
14 |
Saraipali |
70 |
|
15 |
Doundilohari |
70 |
|
16 |
Dungargarh |
70 |
|
17 |
Bilha |
66 |
|
18 |
Shashtri
Bazar |
62 |
|
19 |
Kawarda |
62 |
|
20 |
Pandria |
62 |
|
21 |
Baloda |
62 |
|
22 |
Kotni |
62 |
|
23 |
Raigarh |
62 |
|
24 |
Raghunathpur |
62 |
|
25 |
Bariyan |
62 |
|
26 |
Surajpur |
62 |
|
27 |
Baikunthpur |
62 |
|
28 |
Aarang |
58 |
|
29 |
Kakni |
58 |
|
30 |
Bugechha |
48 |
|
31 |
Pithora |
46 |
|
32 |
Kanker |
46 |
|
33 |
Beltra |
46 |
|
34 |
Jaispurnagar |
46 |
|
35 |
Kusmi |
40 |
|
36 |
Mahasamund |
38 |
|
37 |
Rajnandgaon |
38 |
|
38 |
Kurud |
34 |
|
39 |
Chhuriya |
34 |
|
40 |
Abhanpur |
32 |
|
41 |
Chowki |
32 |
|
42 |
Bilaspur |
32 |
|
43 |
Akaltara |
32 |
|
44 |
Udaipur |
32 |
|
45 |
Palari |
30 |
|
46 |
Patan |
30 |
|
47 |
Sankra |
28 |
|
48 |
Keshkal |
28 |
|
49 |
Shiori
Narayana |
28 |
|
50 |
Nagari |
26 |
|
51 |
Pussour |
26 |
|
52 |
Saria |
26 |
|
53 |
Fal
Bazar, Lalpur |
24 |
|
54 |
Komakhan |
24 |
|
55 |
Kondagaon |
24 |
|
56 |
Narainpur |
24 |
|
57 |
Mungeli |
24 |
|
58 |
Sargaon |
24 |
|
59 |
Jairamnagar |
24 |
|
60 |
Shakti |
24 |
|
61 |
Dhamdha |
22 |
|
62 |
Charama |
22 |
|
63 |
Chanderpur |
22 |
|
64 |
Kheragarh |
20 |
|
65 |
Bagbhara |
18 |
|
66 |
Takahatpur |
18 |
|
67 |
Naila |
18 |
|
68 |
Chikhali |
18 |
|
69 |
Beramkela |
18 |
|
70 |
Seewa |
16 |
|
71 |
Durg |
16 |
|
72 |
Bandhabazar |
16 |
|
73 |
Lormi |
16 |
|
74 |
Barathar |
16 |
|
75 |
Ghargoda |
16 |
|
76 |
Garibandh |
14 |
|
77 |
Bhoring |
14 |
|
78 |
Jhalap |
14 |
|
79 |
Tendukona |
12 |
|
80 |
Balado |
12 |
|
81 |
Amdi |
12 |
|
82 |
Dungargaon |
12 |
|
83 |
Gidam |
12 |
|
84 |
Rahaud |
12 |
|
85 |
Bhimkhoj |
10 |
|
86 |
Toshgaon |
10 |
|
87 |
Katghora |
10 |
|
88 |
Ramnuganj |
10 |
|
89 |
Bhattgaon |
8 |
|
90 |
Chhura |
8 |
|
91 |
Bijapur |
8 |
|
92 |
Sakari |
8 |
|
93 |
Champa |
8 |
|
94 |
Ambikapur |
8 |
|
95 |
Pipariya |
6 |
|
96 |
Kota |
6 |
|
97 |
Kedar |
6 |
|
98 |
Barai |
4 |
|
99 |
Belargaon |
4 |
|
100 |
Ganda1 |
4 |
|
101 |
Rijgaon |
2 |
|
102 |
Pendraroad |
2 |
|
103 |
Hasaud |
2 |
|
104 |
Birra |
0 |
|
105 |
Kunkuri |
0 |
|
106 |
Silyari |
-2 |
|
107 |
Pathari |
-2 |
|
108 |
Bhakhara |
-6 |
|
109 |
Simga |
-12 |